Episodes
Wednesday Oct 03, 2018
Wednesday Oct 03, 2018
Brazil goes to the polling booths on 7 October in a General Election. Right wing presidential candidate Jair Bolsonaro and Workers’ Party nomination Fernando Haddad have a strong lead in sentiment polls, and a second round vote is broadly anticipated on 28 October. In this podcast we look at the potential ultimate outcomes and what they would mean for the future of Brazil’s security and operating environment.
Key points include:
- Immediate term issues around polling day
- Likely outcomes of round one
- Possible outcomes of round two
- What a Haddad presidency might look like
- What a Bolsonaro presidency might look like
We hope you enjoy the podcast and welcome questions and feedback. Please get in touch at info@sibylline.co.uk
Wednesday Sep 05, 2018
Wednesday Sep 05, 2018
The 31 August killing of separatist leader Aleksander Zakharchenko in Donetsk threatens to elicit short term instability in eastern Ukraine and Kyiv. Moscow will likely assert greater direct control over the Donetsk People’s Republic following the assassination with a refocusing of its Donbas strategy towards the reintegration of the separatist-held regions into Ukraine as it simultaneously seeks to influence upcoming Ukrainian presidential elections.
In this podcast we analyse possible motives behind Zakharchenko’s killing and assess the wider impact on Ukraine ahead of 2019’s election cycle.
Key points include:
- Why Zakharchenko’s killing matters in relation to resolution of the conflict
- The impact on Ukraine, with instability and polarisation likely to be exacerbated by Moscow as it seeks to impact Ukrainian presidential elections
- Possible motives and preparators of the assassination
We hope you enjoy the podcast and welcome questions and feedback. Please get in touch at info@sibylline.co.uk