Sibylline Insight Series
Risks for Canadian Businesses Remain Elevated as Meng Wanzhou Case Proceeds

Risks for Canadian Businesses Remain Elevated as Meng Wanzhou Case Proceeds

May 16, 2019

On 16 May, the Chinese government announced that they have formally arrested two Canadian nationals – Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor – who have been detained for over five months, on charges of violating state secrets. This marks the latest development in the highly politicised cases of Kovrig, Spavor and Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou, which have led to an atmosphere of elevated tensions between China and Canada in recent months. As Beijing seeks to exert pressure on Ottawa, Canadian companies operating in China are facings risks ranging from arbitrary detentions of staff to enhanced inspections and customs delays.

Key points include:

  • The latest development in the cases of Meng, Kovrig and Spavor
  • The impact of Beijing’s economic pressure campaign on Canadian companies
  • The likely trajectory of this situation and flashpoints for related risks

 We hope you enjoy the podcast and welcome questions and feedback. Please get in touch at info@sibylline.co.uk

Sibylline Podcast – Canada/US/China- Multitude of Ongoing Diplomatic, Economic and Security Issues Raise Risks for North American Nationals Over Coming Weeks

Sibylline Podcast – Canada/US/China- Multitude of Ongoing Diplomatic, Economic and Security Issues Raise Risks for North American Nationals Over Coming Weeks

January 18, 2019

The 17 January warnings made by Chinese Ambassador to Canada Lu Shaye exacerbated the deterioration in relations between the two countries. The incident adds to the recent attention given to relations between the US, Canada, and China.

In this podcast we break down the areas of concern between the countries into three different categories: the arrest of Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou and resulting fallout, ongoing Sino-American trade negotiations, and US-driven national security concerns regarding Chinese companies. After analysing these three categories, we give our predictions on how they will evolve, and highlight associated risks to Canadian and American companies and individuals.

Key points include:

  • Analysis of the relationship between the scrutiny of Huawei, ongoing trade negotiations, and concerns over espionage and intellectual property theft
  • Implications for US and Canadian travelers and operations in the China
  • Predictions regarding US government policy and oversight regarding Chinese firms in the coming months

We hope you enjoy the podcast and welcome questions and feedback. Please get in touch at info@sibylline.co.uk

Sibylline Podcast - Russia/China - The Vostok Military Exercises and the Evolving Sino-Russian Strategic Partnership

Sibylline Podcast - Russia/China - The Vostok Military Exercises and the Evolving Sino-Russian Strategic Partnership

September 14, 2018

With Russia’s Vostok military exercises taking place this week - on the grandest scale since the Cold War era and involving China for the first time – we discuss the domestic significance as well as the evolving relationship between Moscow and Beijing. With signs of greater cooperation, as well as numerous potential points of contention, we consider how best to interpret the relationship and how it is likely to progress.

Key points include:

  • Russia’s domestic economic problems
  • Increasingly strained relations between both China and Russia and the West
  • How pragmatism and mutual economic benefits are driving cooperation
  • Competition in Eurasia as a potential source of conflict

We hope you enjoy the podcast and welcome questions and feedback. Please get in touch at info@sibylline.co.uk

Sibylline Podcast – US/China - Brewing Trade War Likely To Escalate Over Coming Month

Sibylline Podcast – US/China - Brewing Trade War Likely To Escalate Over Coming Month

April 6, 2018
Escalating reciprocal tariffs between China and the US are expected to come to a head in mid-May. In this podcast we look at the drivers and impacts of the brewing crisis before posing tentative predictions and implications.
 
Key points include:
 
  • The latest proposed tariffs and how and when they might be implemented
  • The economic impacts
  • Broader impacts to the security and operating environments
  • Short term predictions
  • Long term considerations
 
We hope you enjoy the podcast and welcome questions and feedback. Please get in touch at info@sibylline.co.uk

We will be developing our podcasts over the coming months, with an emphasis on delivering greater value for security professionals. We look forward to sharing with you the evolution of this product and welcome feedback and comments. If you would like us to address a particular topic please do let us know