On 21 March, the European Council granted Prime Minister Theresa May a delay to the UK's departure date from the EU until 12 April, with a potential extension until 22 May. This is significantly shorter than the 30 June delay which May asked for, highlighting the growing pressure on the prime minister and an increasing likelihood of a 'no deal' Brexit.
Key points include:
- The plausibility of the Withdrawal Treaty passing in an upcoming vote in the UK parliament
- The prospects of a parliamentary breakdown and/or a general election
- The likelihood, indicators, and immediate impacts of a 'no deal' scenario
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