Sibylline Insight Series
US-Russia Tensions

US-Russia Tensions

March 12, 2021

Liana Semchuk, Lead Analyst for Europe & Eurasia, and James Barth, Analyst for North America, join Director for Sibylline EMEA Jonathan Dunbar, to discuss tensions between the US and Russia increasing since Joe Biden became president of the United States. The risk of US sanctions against Russia expanding remains elevated in the months ahead as bipartisan pressure on Biden to take a tougher stance on Russia mounts. However, Washington may be forced to make compromises on its Russia stance concerning key infrastructural projects such as Nord Stream 2 as the Biden administration seeks to mend ties with Europe, particularly Germany. Further strains to the US / EU-Russia relationship will also come from Covid-19 vaccine disinformation allegations, cyber threats, and Washington's promotion of democracy in Eastern Europe.

Saudi-US relations and the wider impact of intelligence report on the murder of Jamal Khashoggi

Saudi-US relations and the wider impact of intelligence report on the murder of Jamal Khashoggi

March 5, 2021
This week’s podcast focuses on the recently declassified U.S. intelligence report confirming that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman approved the killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi. Eloise Scott, analyst for Middle East & North Africa, and Phil Riding, Lead Analyst for Middle East and Africa, join Director for Sibylline Americas Greg Hoobler, to discuss the implications of the report for Western and regional governments dealing with Saudi Arabia, as well as the outlook for Western business operations in the Kingdom.
Insurrection, Impeachment, and International Implications… and Insightful Discussion on U.S. Politics

Insurrection, Impeachment, and International Implications… and Insightful Discussion on U.S. Politics

January 15, 2021

Sibylline Americas Director Greg Hoobler is joined by James Barth, North America Analyst, Liana Semchuk, Lead Analyst for Europe, and Hugo Yu, Lead Analyst for Asia-Pacific, for a discussion based on events and implications associated with the right-wing insurrection at the US Capitol on January 6. This discussion will include important considerations from both the US domestic perspective and international eyes.

The Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict as well as implications in the wake of the US presidential election

The Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict as well as implications in the wake of the US presidential election

November 13, 2020

Join Sibylline’s Greg Hoobler as he hosts this week’s podcast with Liana Semchuk, Lead Europe & Eurasia Analyst; Alex Lord, Europe & Eurasia Analyst; Amy Reynolds, Deputy Insight Manager; and James Barth, North America Analyst. 

Our speakers revisit the Armenia and Azerbaijan conflict and explore whether the surprisingly quiet post-election period represents a calm before the storm or an over-estimation of election related unrest in the US…

 

Sibylline Podcast – Canada/US/China- Multitude of Ongoing Diplomatic, Economic and Security Issues Raise Risks for North American Nationals Over Coming Weeks

Sibylline Podcast – Canada/US/China- Multitude of Ongoing Diplomatic, Economic and Security Issues Raise Risks for North American Nationals Over Coming Weeks

January 18, 2019

The 17 January warnings made by Chinese Ambassador to Canada Lu Shaye exacerbated the deterioration in relations between the two countries. The incident adds to the recent attention given to relations between the US, Canada, and China.

In this podcast we break down the areas of concern between the countries into three different categories: the arrest of Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou and resulting fallout, ongoing Sino-American trade negotiations, and US-driven national security concerns regarding Chinese companies. After analysing these three categories, we give our predictions on how they will evolve, and highlight associated risks to Canadian and American companies and individuals.

Key points include:

  • Analysis of the relationship between the scrutiny of Huawei, ongoing trade negotiations, and concerns over espionage and intellectual property theft
  • Implications for US and Canadian travelers and operations in the China
  • Predictions regarding US government policy and oversight regarding Chinese firms in the coming months

We hope you enjoy the podcast and welcome questions and feedback. Please get in touch at info@sibylline.co.uk

Sibylline Podcast - Turkey/US – Growing Bilateral Tensions Raise Risks from Popular Anti-American Sentiment in Turkey

Sibylline Podcast - Turkey/US – Growing Bilateral Tensions Raise Risks from Popular Anti-American Sentiment in Turkey

August 22, 2018

Over recent months, the tensions between the US and Turkey have escalated, notably in the form of bilateral trade sanctions.

In this podcast we look at why this is occurring and what the main drivers are, both superficially and under the surface. We identify that the harnessing of nationalist and even religious sentiment in this situation is causing popular anger towards the US within Turkey, as demonstrated by the recent drive-by shooting of the US embassy. We also look at the broader risks to the business environment in Turkey in the coming months.

Key points include:

  • The latest iterations of reciprocal tensions
  • Key drivers, internationally and from each side
  • Predictions on how this will evolve over the coming months
  • Red flags and indications of severe escalation

We hope you enjoy the podcast and welcome questions and feedback. Please get in touch at info@sibylline.co.uk

Sibylline Podcast – US/China - Brewing Trade War Likely To Escalate Over Coming Month

Sibylline Podcast – US/China - Brewing Trade War Likely To Escalate Over Coming Month

April 6, 2018
Escalating reciprocal tariffs between China and the US are expected to come to a head in mid-May. In this podcast we look at the drivers and impacts of the brewing crisis before posing tentative predictions and implications.
 
Key points include:
 
  • The latest proposed tariffs and how and when they might be implemented
  • The economic impacts
  • Broader impacts to the security and operating environments
  • Short term predictions
  • Long term considerations
 
We hope you enjoy the podcast and welcome questions and feedback. Please get in touch at info@sibylline.co.uk

We will be developing our podcasts over the coming months, with an emphasis on delivering greater value for security professionals. We look forward to sharing with you the evolution of this product and welcome feedback and comments. If you would like us to address a particular topic please do let us know
 
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