Sibylline Insight Podcast

International Women’s Day!

In this special episode of the Sibylline Podcast, four of our analysts from the Global Intelligence Branch sit down to discuss the topic of women in the consulting, security and intelligence industry in honour of International Women's day on the 8th of March. The speakers cover a range of topics including joining the industry as a woman, challenges and issues faced by women, support systems, maternity leave and much more. 

South Africa’s Energy Crisis, Pakistan’s New Bill & Latin America’s Stance on the War in Ukraine: Sibylline Insights Ep.4

In this episode our host, Gareth Westwood, is joined by three Sibylline intelligence analysts. Ben Manzin discusses South Africa's use of 'loadshedding' and the broader implications of the energy crisis. Supriya Ravishankar explains the proposed IMF funding for Pakistan and, finally, Konrad Petraitis discusses Latin American views on the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.

#loadshedding #southafrica #pakistan #refinedinsights

 

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Deep Dive: Turkey & Syria Earthquakes

In this premier episode of the Sibylline Deep Dive, Gareth Westwood is joined by two intelligence analysts, Valeria Scuto and Rhiannon Phillips to discuss the impact of the devastating earthquakes in Turkey and Syria and their implications for the broader region.

 

#Turkey #syria #earthquake #refinedinsight

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Conflict in Ethiopia, Climate Activism, Ransomware & Chinese Balloons: Sibylline Insights EP.3

In this episode our host, Gareth Westwood, is joined by Edie Lipton to discuss Ethiopia's other conflict, Thomas Carter to explain climate activism in Europe and Kailyn Johnson to discuss Ransomware and what companies can do to protect themselves. Also, in a bonus segment, Sydney Stewart and Riccardo Cociani will discuss the infamous Chinese 'weather' balloon that has taken the headlines by storm.

 

#chineseballoon #ethiopia #climateaction #ransomware #cybersecurity #refinedinsight

 

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Brazil, Turkey & Nigeria: Elections Analysis

In this episode, Lead Sub Saharan Africa analyst Ben Manzin unpacks risks associated with the upcoming Nigerian elections. MENA Analyst Rhiannon Phillips joins us to discuss Turkish elections and we explore the current political climate in Brazil with Associate LATAM Analyst, Eduardo Damm.

 

#Refinedinsight #nigeria #nigerianelection2023 #Turkey #erdoğan #brazil #bolsonaro #elections

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Tensions in Kosovo and Israel and Attacks on US Energy Infrastructure

In this premier episode of the Sibylline Forecast, Gareth Westwood, Head of the Global Intelligence Branch, is joined by Anastasia Chisholm, Sydney Stewart and Zsofia Wolford to discuss rising tensions in Israel amid the return of Benjamin Netanyahu, extremist attacks targeting US energy infrastructure, and increased civil unrest in Kosovo.

 

Sibylline Forecast marks the launch of a new initiative to provide our listeners and subscribers with more streamlined and diverse analysis of global events. Now, you can listen to our new format and watch on our YouTube channel at https://www.youtube.com/@sibyllineTV

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Tunisian Elections

On 17 December, Tunisians will cast their ballots in the country's much-anticipated parliamentary elections. The elections are the first following President Kais Saied's suspension of parliament in July 2021, having since extended his executive authority. Combined with a new constitution and electoral law, this has fostered an increasingly restrictive political environment in recent months, heightening domestic and international concerns over Tunisia's democratic backslide.

Overall, sentiment surrounding the parliamentary elections has been negative, amid a boycott from political parties and groups. Widespread political disenfranchisement is likely to contribute to a low voter turnout and the heightened threat of unrest in the coming days and weeks. The incoming government, likely to comprise President Saied's supporters, is set to face continued challenges in advancing economic reforms to secure IMF funding in 2023, due to strong union opposition, which is likely to undermine investor confidence in the coming months. 

The Fallout of the 2022 US Midterm Elections

Join our hosts Konrad Petraitis (Lead Americas Analyst), Sydney Stewart (North America Analyst) and Leo Collins (Dangerous Organisations and Individuals Analyst) as they discuss the ramifications of the 2022 US Midterm elections results.

 

Much to the surprise of many pollsters, political commentators and indeed voters, the 8 November midterm elections delivered an unusual victory to the incumbent Democratic party and the rumoured ‘red wave’ proved to be more of a ripple as Democrats retain control of the Senate while Republicans take control of the House. Our hosts discuss what this new political landscape will mean for future political dynamics, businesses, the economy, extremism and political violence in the United States as we look towards 2024.

Pakistan’s volatile political landscape following the Imran Khan shooting

Join your host, Dr Guo Yu, Sibylline's Lead Asia-Pacific Analyst along with Supriya Ravishankar, our APAC Analyst, to discuss Pakistan's ongoing political instability and the wider economic and security implications.

 

On 3 November, former prime minister and leader of the main opposition party, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), Imran Khan, was shot and injured during a high-profile anti-government protest rally dubbed the 'long march'. The incident has further inflamed the already elevated tensions between the PTI and the Pakistan Muslim League (N)-led government, with Khan and the PTI accusing incumbent Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and the army of being responsible for the 'assassination attempt'. As Khan seeks to return to power while the current government continues to resist calls for an early election, Pakistan's domestic political situation looks set to remain highly volatile in the coming weeks.

Prospects for an ELN-Colombian Government Peace Deal

Join your host Leo Collins, our Organisations and Dangerous Individuals Analyst along with Konrad Petraitis, our Principal Americas Analyst and Eduardo Damm Braga, our Latin America Analyst, to discuss the latest developments in the ELN-Colombian government peace deal.

 

November will mark the start of peace negotiations between Colombia and the ELN. On November 1 in Caracas, Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, and Colombian President Gustavo Petro met to discuss efforts to improve bilateral ties and set the framework for talks between Bogota and the ELN guerrillas. Both sides are expected to hold talks in Caracas, which are likely to result in a decline in the guerrillas' high-profile crimes, including such as assassinations, kidnappings and IED attacks on government or security personnel.